Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.980489 7.888154 8.884582 10.062159 11.419020 12.937198 14.769754
2024-12-15 5.679625 6.873891 8.290363 10.104066 12.378641 15.154948 18.827903
2024-12-22 4.801707 6.116512 7.769326 10.019447 13.033408 16.974175 22.587688
2024-12-29 4.381424 5.824998 7.730660 10.464187 14.339976 19.722419 27.911358
2025-01-05 3.915430 5.391016 7.419008 10.457419 14.976952 21.584376 32.226121
2025-01-12 3.521180 4.997034 7.097533 10.366866 15.440409 23.206443 36.375857
2025-01-19 3.055528 4.444408 6.478473 9.745563 14.997573 23.352890 38.155360
2025-01-26 2.831122 4.221614 6.317845 9.794509 15.589591 25.184753 42.980650
2025-02-02 2.703513 4.130216 6.342847 10.130469 16.675298 27.954752 49.868286
2025-02-09 2.560690 3.998960 6.287808 10.321147 17.526176 30.415396 56.574155
2025-02-16 2.423141 3.861985 6.207298 10.453745 18.280783 32.787461 63.487605
2025-02-23 2.296832 3.731260 6.122714 10.565319 19.001988 35.179361 70.832896
2025-03-02 2.114857 3.495329 5.844275 10.311034 19.028485 36.276414 75.751220
2025-03-09 1.982672 3.334334 5.682257 10.254482 19.430841 38.182828 82.817464
2025-03-16 1.855718 3.171846 5.502632 10.144065 19.708954 39.865341 89.685297
2025-03-23 1.817513 3.164743 5.604107 10.588719 21.181222 44.320769 104.116399
2025-03-30 1.722599 3.045757 5.485901 10.580281 21.687941 46.699864 113.827539
2025-04-06 1.625763 2.915550 5.334975 10.488138 21.997827 48.666525 122.863188
2025-04-13 1.474745 2.671906 4.945391 9.858564 21.026696 47.452113 122.951932
2025-04-20 1.412342 2.594431 4.877004 9.908129 21.621856 50.146862 134.693837
2025-04-27 1.385015 2.583170 4.939654 10.248497 22.943304 54.870298 153.513644
2025-05-04 1.344033 2.541598 4.936696 10.441687 23.933303 58.893814 171.189667
2025-05-11 1.299905 2.490399 4.909369 10.576036 24.793931 62.710059 189.174148